Nebraska GOP Senate primary: Dark horse Deb Fischer wins in an upset, faces New York transplant Bob Kerrey

http://twitter.com/#!/nebraskanews/status/202598873154330626

Just as we noted this morning, the Nebraska GOP Senate primary tonight is down to the wire. State Sen. Deb Fischer, the dark horse endorsed by Sarah Palin and Herman Cain, is neck and neck with Attorney General Jon Bruning. We’ll update continuously as politicos live-tweet through the night.

https://twitter.com/#!/myfreedomfirst/status/202587455570980864

Deb Fischer now leads GOP Senate primary in Nebraska with 52% of precincts in – Fischer by 800 votes over Bruning

— Jamie Dupree (@jamiedupree) May 16, 2012

Bruning's once double digit lead in Lancaster County (Lincoln) has dwindled to 3% as more votes get counted. Not even close to good enuf

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) May 16, 2012

Nebraska Secretary of State results are here.

In Nebraska Semate primary, Fischer pulls ahead of Bruning with 56 percent of vote tallied.

— Shane Goldmacher (@ShaneGoldmacher) May 16, 2012

With 10 of 28 precincts counted in Hall County, Deb Fischer 996, Jon Bruning 822 for U.S. Senate.

— Sarah Schulz (@sarahschulz) May 16, 2012

The Palin effect has some Twitter folks remembering how she helped Nikki Haley in South Carolina:

@DavidCatanese Fischer coming out of nowhere, endorsed by Palin surging past well liked AG reminds of Nikki Haley

— Adam Piper (@adampiper) May 16, 2012

Looking good for Fischer in key counties:

Fischer tops Bruning in Hall County. Traditionally turnout is best in central & western Nebraska which is home turf for Fischer.

— Steve White (@NTVsSteveWhite) May 16, 2012

Same pattern in Douglas County – where Fischer actually won the election day votes and narrowed the margin to 10%

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) May 16, 2012

Fischer showing strong in Adams County with 50% of the precincts reporting Fisher leads by a 45 to 34% vote

— Tyson Havranek (@Tyson_Havranek) May 16, 2012

Deb Fischer now leads Jon Bruning by less than 400 votes. It's going to be a close one folks.

— News 5 (@KHASTV) May 16, 2012

Fischer 39.0%, Bruning 37.0%, Stenberg 19.5% via AP at 10:48 p.m. ET. 61.8% in. http://t.co/OozO2jvT #NEPrimary

— Jim R (@Bassmaster12) May 16, 2012

As of 10:50pm Eastern:

Deb Fischer now leads Jon Bruning by less than 400 votes. It's going to be a close one folks.

— News 5 (@KHASTV) May 16, 2012

Other winners and losers:

Club4Growth might not have endorsed Fischer in Nebraska, but their ad campaign made clear it was more about stopping Bruning. And they did.

— Erick Erickson (@EWErickson) May 16, 2012

Other really big NE winner? My friends over at Ending Spending — came out big at the end with a huge ad buy for Fischer & against Bruning.

— Erick Erickson (@EWErickson) May 16, 2012

Stenberg's loss more embarrassing for DeMint than Club for Growth. Club was all anti-Bruning; Senate Conservatives Fund was pro-Stenberg.

— Aaron Blake (@AaronBlakeWP) May 16, 2012

Fischer’s pulling ahead as Bruning’s early-voting advantage dissipates:

Fischer leads Bruning by 2,885 votes in race for GOP nomination for U.S. Senate. (1052/1785 precincts reporting)

— KETV NewsWatch 7 (@KETV) May 16, 2012

Fischer now leads, probably for good. Bruning's initial lead was from early voting. http://t.co/kbHOFAY9

— Phil Kerpen (@kerpen) May 16, 2012

71% in – Fischer 40 Bruning 36. Put that checkmark on Fischer.

— Nathan Wurtzel (@NathanWurtzel) May 16, 2012

@DeenaNEWatchdog Has Stenberg conceded yet?If a tree falls and no one's around…

— Scott Crass (@CrassPolitical) May 16, 2012

The winner tonight faces former Nebraska Senator and governor-turned-Beltway/NYC fixture Bob Kerrey — prompting well-deserved razzing:

Wonder if Bob Kerrey is watching the #NEGOP Senate results from his penthouse apartment in Greenwich village? #nesen

— Caroline Wren (@CarolineWren) May 16, 2012

Meanwhile Bob Kerrey getting 80% of the vote in the New York (3rd Senate seat) Democratic primary. #nesen

— Gerard Harbison (@GerardHarbison) May 16, 2012

Not shocked but #NE Dems choose to run a New Yorker (Bob Kerrey) in the #NESen General Election

— Political CSI (@Political_CSI) May 16, 2012

@CarolineWren @michellemalkin And let's not forget Kerrey's $2 million vacation home in Shelter Island, NY. He could be there too.

— Brian Walsh (@brianjameswalsh) May 16, 2012

Still counting:

Fischer's lead up to 40-36 with three-fourths of precincts in. #NESEN

— Aaron Blake (@AaronBlakeWP) May 16, 2012

Final numbers are in for Lancaster County — check em out here: http://t.co/zm7Rlyyx #LNK (Fischer wins Bruning's home county).

— Jordan Pascale (@JWPascale) May 16, 2012

Is it too early to celebrate?

70.7% reporting in #NESEN: Fischer 39.8%, Bruning, 36.4%, Stenberg 19.3%. Go @DebFischer2012!!

— She·PAC (@She_PAC) May 16, 2012

May or may not have cheered out loud at gym when they announced Deb Fischer took the lead over Bruning!

— Stacy Anderson (@theporpoise81) May 16, 2012

Sarah Palin can see Deb Fischer's party from her house. #nesen

— Mike Wagner (@prowag) May 16, 2012

11:16pm Eastern – CNN projects Fischer the winner:

CNN is now projecting that Deb Fischer will win the Nebraska Republican Senate Primary, defeating Jon Bruning. #NeSen

— CNN Political Desk (@CNNPoliticsdesk) May 16, 2012

And more calls:

.@LeavenworthSt is calling the #NESEN race for @DebFischer2012

— Street Sweeper (@LeavenworthSt) May 16, 2012

AP in Omaha is calling Senate GOP race for Fischer. Bruning's loss becomes a cautious tale of guy who always has eye on next office.

— Chris Clayton (@ChrisClaytonDTN) May 16, 2012

Let the spin and counter-spin begin:

Dems spinning that GOP field in NE is "weak" yet even Dem polling has them all beating Kerrey by double digits http://t.co/t1r1mL2T

— Brian Walsh (@brianjameswalsh) May 16, 2012

@mattcanter @DavidMDrucker And yet even a Dem pollster finds her beating the well known Bob Kerrey by DOUBLE DIGITS. This is funny.

— Brian Walsh (@brianjameswalsh) May 16, 2012

No matter who wins in NE tonight – natl Dem release – "{insert name} is a right wing, tea party extremist who is out of step" #NeedNewSpin

— Brian Walsh (@brianjameswalsh) May 16, 2012

As you await the #NESen primary results, watch this video & see why Dems will have a very big problem holding this seat http://t.co/MY7pPhnz

— Brian Walsh (@brianjameswalsh) May 16, 2012

Here's the Club for Growth PAC statement on #NESEN congratulating Deb Fischer: http://t.co/XLQ9NSEd

— Barney Keller (@barneykeller) May 16, 2012

Let this be a lesson for all the naysayers talking down candidates who face uphill primary battles:

It's Fischer vs. Kerrey. A week ago, no one saw it coming. Fischer destroyed Bruning in the ranch country and much of the I-80 corridor.

— David Kotok (@DavidKotok1) May 16, 2012

Read more: http://twitchy.com/2012/05/15/nebraska-gop-senate-primary-nail-biter-as-fischer-takes-the-lead/

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